2010年5月30日星期日

The Rise and Fall of Microsoft’s Xbox Champions, Robbie Bach and J Allard

Microsoft (MSFT) has initiated one of its biggest management shakeups in years, as it announced today that Robbie Bach and J Allard, the masterminds behind the company’s hugely successful push into video-game consoles, are leaving the company after decades of leading the Windows giant into new markets.

Bach…the head of Microsoft’s Entertainment & Devices group, is retiring after 22 years at Microsoft, according to an announcement today by Microsoft chief executive Steve Ballmer, who said that Bach is “leaving on a high note.”

The two men are not being directly replaced.

Read the rest of this post on the original site

2010年5月29日星期六

Groupon: Deals for Members, but What About the Investors?

When asked if it’s truly possible that his portfolio company Groupon Inc. could transform in 17 months from an idea to a business worth more than a billion dollars, New Enterprise Associates Partner Peter Barris chuckled in a way that indicates even he recognizes it may be a dangerous assumption.

But Barris and other investors who accepted a $1.35 billion valuation on the group-buying Web site after a recent round don’t see a return to Internet bubble levels of price inflation. Instead, they think Groupon is one of a new breed of Internet companies worth their weight in gold because of how quickly they can grow.

These days, “you can build a big company, a very, very big [Internet] company,” Barris said. “Business is back to measuring revenue and profits.”

Groupon attracted $135 million in funding, mostly from Russian investment firm Digital Sky Technologies, which has done similar deals with Facebook Inc. and social gaming company Zynga Inc. in the past year. The balance came from new investor Battery Ventures. Early investors NEA and Accel Partners did not reup, but they didn’t take any capital off the table, either.

Read the rest of this post n the original site

2010年5月28日星期五

Do I Care About Apple’s Market Cap? No. But I Sure as Hell Wish We Hadn’t Sold Off That Apple Stock We Bought in ’97

How does Microsoft feel about being overtaken by Apple as the world’s largest technology company?

It couldn’t care less.

Well, that’s what CEO Steve Ballmer says, anyway.

Asked Wednesday if it bothers him that Apple (AAPL) has finally surpassed Microsoft (MSFT) in total value (click on chart below to enlarge), Ballmer shrugged it off.

“It is a long game. We have good competitors, but we too are very good competitor,” he said. “We are executing very well and that is going to lead to great products and great success….I will make more profit and certainly there is no technology company on the planet that is as profitable as we are….Stock markets will take care of the rest.”

2010年5月26日星期三

How to convert video to PSP Video formats

This document will show you how to trim, crop, convert video to PSP video formats at length, you can refer to it step by step and take the conversion an easy trip.

It includes two parts:
1. How to convert video to PSP?
2. How to trim, crop, join and edit video for PSP?

The video formats Aiseesoft PSP Movie Converter support are as follows:
AVI, XviD, WMV (Window Media Video), MPEG, MPG, MP4, FLV (YouTube video), 3GP, 3GPP (cell phone video), Mod, Tod, RM, RMVB (Real Player video), M4V, ASF

The audio formats supported by Aiseesoft PSP Movie Converter are:
MP3, WMA, WAV, AC3, M4A, AAC

Part 1: How to convert video to PSP?
Step1. Please download Aiseesoft PSP Video Converter; you can free download it from here.
http://www.aiseesoft.com/psp-movie-converter.html

Step2: Install and run Aiseesoft PSP Movie Converter, click the “Add File” button to import your videos. If you experience any problems adding videos by directly clicking the “Add” button, you can click “File -> Add file” to add the video files you want to convert from your computer.

PSP Movie Converter - add file

Step3. Then Click the “Profile” drop-down list to select the format you prefer for each added file. If you don’t know what formats your device support, you can just select the format according to the device

PSP Movie Converter - profile

After you finish all the above steps, please click “Start” to begin the conversion.

Free Trial: Free download Aiseesoft PSP Movie Converter

Next Part: How to crop, edit, join and trim movie movie for PSP?

2010年5月25日星期二

How to Convert RM to 3GP

How to convert RM to 3GP at fast speed:

1 After downloading, launch this RM to 3GP converter

2 Add files

Input RM video file to be converted (you can feel free to add RM files as many as you wish).

3 Select output format and destination

Select the 3GP video file from the profile list, the preview video screen may play the selected file. You are allowed to catch your favorite picture during previewing. Find 3GP video in the folder you have set.

4 Convert

Press Start to convert. After converting, you can play the converted 3GP files on your portable mobile phone like Google Phone, BlackBerry…

Tip: If you need to customize your output video or audio files, try additional editing features such as Trim, Crop, Effect, Merge from the main user-friendly interface.

Need more help, explore: RM to 3GP.

2010年5月23日星期日

How to Convert MTS (.mts) Files

When you finished the download process, run the .exe file to install it.

convert MTS

1 Click "Add file" button to import videos - MTS

2 Extend the "Profile" category to select an output format you need

3 Click "Browse" button to choose an output folder and click "Open Folder" to open it

4 Try Effect, Trim, Crop, Merge, Settings and more functions according to your needs

5 Click "Start" to convert

Visit How to convert MTS files for full version description!

Nike’s Not-So-Secret World Cup Ads Go Viral Before They Launch

The World Cup starts next month. So where’s the blitz of Nike (NKE) ads that always accompanies the globe’s biggest sporting event?

Funny you should ask. Nike will formally start pushing out its new ads tomorrow on TV, Facebook and Google’s (GOOG) YouTube. But the marketer gave the campaign a small push early this week, which is all it took. People are lapping this stuff up.

This three-minute spot, for instance, is on an “unlisted” YouTube page, which means it’s theoretically “private”–it won’t show up in YouTube search results or its homepage, and you can only get to it via a link (I got there via AdWeek’s Brian Morrissey). But it has already racked up some 400,000 views. That number will start getting really, really big tomorrow.

2010年5月21日星期五

Farmville Creator Not Leaving Facebook After All

Rather than end its strained relationship with Facebook, social-gaming outfit Zynga has opted to formalize it. This morning, the company, which had been rumored to be reconsidering its dependence on the popular social network, said it has entered into a five-year strategic relationship with it instead.

Under the vague terms of the plan, Zynga will expand its use of Facebook Credits–Facebook’s virtual currency–in titles like FarmVille and Mafia Wars, with the site presumably taking its standard 30 percent cut of transactions made with them.

In return, Facebook will–well, it’s not quite clear what the social networking giant will do, aside from allowing Zynga titles to remain onsite. Which, frankly, isn’t a bad deal at all considering that Facebook is likely responsible for most of the $450 million in revenue Farmville is expected to generate this year.

Not that Facebook didn’t have something at stake here as well. Of the social networks 10 most popular apps, Zynga is responsible for six and more than 239 million Facebook members use them.

That said, the simple fact that many Facebook members actually play games like Farmville and Mafia Wars suggests–to me, at least–that they’re pretty much willing to play anything, regardless of who developed it.

So maybe this is more a peace treaty than anything else, perhaps even one made to placate a mutual investor.

2010年5月20日星期四

Whiskey Media’s (and Former CNet CEO) Shelby Bonnie Talks Content and More!

Yesterday, BoomTown caught up with Shelby, the former CEO of CNet who is now running Whiskey Media, the social publishing start-up.

Sausalito, Calif.-based Whiskey is debuting its latest site today, called Screened, focused on video entertainment, which will combine both professional and user-generated content, much as its other four sites–Anime, Vice, Giant Bomb, Comic Vine and Tested–do.

Heaped on top of the niche content, aimed at passionate fans, is social networking, as well as gaming and wikis.

It’s yet another twist on the creation and distribution of content and another example of how quickly the publishing industry is changing and innovating sometimes too.

From pay walls at News Corp. (NWS) to the run on low-cost content outfits to the decline of traditional media outlets and the growth of others, it’s definitely a dynamic time.

2010年5月18日星期二

How to Convert WMV to iPhone on Mac

Step by step guide:

Step 1 Run and add the WMV video files you prepare to convert

Click Add file to browse your computer and import WMV videos. If necessary, importing several files meantime is allowed.

Step 2 Select output format

Click "Profile", select MP4 format for your iPhone, then click "Browse" to select a destination folder in the window that opens.

Step 3 Start to convert WMV to iPhone Mac by clicking "Start".

As you see, just a few clicks, the conversion is ok.

The Mac WMV to iPhone software is just what you are looking for. Don't hesitate to download and purchase it.

Go to WMV to iPhone Mac for other info!

2010年5月17日星期一

How to Convert WMV to MP4 on Mac

To download and install Mac WMV to MP4, simply mount the .dmg archive by double-clicking it.

How to convert WMV to MP4 on Mac

How to Convert WMV to MP4 on Mac?

Step 1, Add WMV video files to Mac WMV to MP4 Converter

Click the "Add File" button to add WMV video files to the program. This MP4 converter for Mac supports drag-drop and you can import and convert several multimedia files at a time.

Step 2, Select output format as MP4

Use the "Profile" on the bottom of the window to control the output format. Open drop-down menu and select "MPEG-4 Video" as the output format.

convert WMV to MP4 Mac

Step 3, Change MP4 Video Settings (optional)

You can change the Resolution, Encoder, Bit rate and Frame rate of the MP4 video and Sample Rate, Channels, Encoder and Bit Rate of Audio. The size of the MP4 file depends a lot on these settings.

Step 4, Select output directory

Use the "Browse" button to select an output directory.

How to convert WMV to MP4 on Mac

Step 5, Start conversion

After all the preparation steps before, just click "Start" to convert WMV to MP4 on Mac OS X.

If you want to trim, crop and more editing, please press the buttons below or go to How to convert WMV to MP4 on Mac directly.

convert WMV to MP4 Mac

2010年5月16日星期日

How to Convert DVD to MP3

Now you can freely enjoy music on various portable devices like iPod, iPhone, iPhone 3G S, once own the powerful DVD ripper software. Follow the 1-2-3 steps, you will find the conversion from ripping DVD movie to MP3 is so easy and fast.

Step 1

Download Aiseesoft DVD Ripper and install it to your PC. Then load your loved DVD disc from targeted drive.

convert DVD to MP3

Step 2

After loading the DVD movie, you can rip DVD to MP3 in segment or convert DVD to MP3 in whole file. Just using the "Merge" feature to finish it.

Step3

Edit DVD files for better ouput MP3 file

Step 4

Choose "MP3" format from the list, and click the "Start" button to start the DVD to MP3 conversion. After waiting for a few minutes, you can enjoy the beloved music on your iPod, iPhone

More info about:
Rip DVD to MP3

2010年5月14日星期五

Adobe Co-Founder: We Never Abandoned Apple, but Apple Is Abandoning Us

A couple of weeks ago, Apple CEO Steve Jobs published “Thoughts on Flash,” a 1,671-word execration of Adobe’s Flash platform.

On Thursday, Adobe co-founders and co-chairmen Chuck Geschke and John Warnock followed suit with some thoughts of their own. Their eight-paragraph essay, “Our Thoughts On Open Markets,” mentions Apple only once, but when it does, it is to lambaste the company for its position on Flash, a position the two claim “could undermine this next chapter of the web–the chapter in which mobile devices outnumber computers, any individual can be a publisher, and content is accessed anywhere and at any time.”

I spoke to Geschke Thursday afternoon about the pair’s letter, Adobe’s (ADBE) new “We ♥ Apple” ad campaign and Apple’s (AAPL) stance on his company’s software. Below, a transcript of our conversation.

John Paczkowski: What is Adobe is hoping to get out of this new “We Love Apple/Freedom of Choice” campaign?

Chuck Geschke: We mostly are using it as a way to communicate with our customers and partners to assure them that we’re not going to change our strategy and to inform the rest of the community of what the pluses and minuses are of not supporting Flash on the iPhone and the iPad. Our customers, a large percentage of them, are the people who generate and distribute information and content, and for them they have one production stream that they use to do that and they’ve gotten used to the fact that we’ve worked very hard to open up the standards that we support so that we can offer them ubiquity of output on all kinds of platforms. So the fact that Apple is precluding that puts them in a tough position because it means that they’re going to have to create that content twice, and that’s not very productive. It’s certainly more expensive than what they do today. And as you know, the content industry is an industry under a lot of cost pressure these days.

JP: Both Apple and Microsoft have said publicly now that Flash has issues with reliability, security, and performance. Do you think those complaints are legitimate?

CG: I think they’re old news. Go to our Web site and read the actual facts about Flash. We enumerate the facts about Flash there as we see them. [Microsoft and Apple] may have a different set of facts that they believe are accurate. It’s up to you to decide. But I will tell you that the Flash version we’re coming out with now–where, for the first time with the Mac platform, we can actually get to the lower-level interfaces–is going to run like the wind. And the same is true on Windows.

JP: Shouldn’t Apple have the right to define the means by which apps for its own platform can be written?

CG: They absolutely have the right. No one says they don’t.

JP: Cross-platform mobile apps tend not to take advantage of native features unique to each device. What do you have to say about complaints that write-once-run-anywhere software results in subpar apps?

CG: Well, people don’t say that about Photoshop. They certainly don’t say it about Acrobat….I’m a little confused about what the real examples of that are. If there’s a problem with the performance of Flash as demonstrated on the iPhone, it’s because we haven’t been able to access the inner layers of hardware and software we need to to provide the kind of performance we can provide on other platforms. But that’s Apple’s choice, not ours. And now, of course, you can’t use it at all.

JP: So you don’t think write-once-run-anywhere is limiting at all?

CG: Not really. I mean there may be certain features in certain environments that you’ll want to do customization for, but the more you go down that road, the more you get the experience of HTML on the Web, where the kind of browser, hardware and OS you use determines what your experience. That’s because HTML is not well codified and standardized and people sort of roll their own.

JP: How much of Adobe’s revenue comes from Flash?

CG: I would share that number if we disclose it, but I’m not sure that we do. It isn’t a huge amount of revenue, but it is an extremely popular platform that all of our apps have the opportunity to exploit when it’s distributed everywhere. Flash tools aren’t the largest piece of our business, but it’s a significant one and obviously we feel it’s extremely important to our customers and partners who want to build third-party apps in an environment where they can, in fact, put them on a variety of devices without having to re-implement them.

JP: So could Apple’s exclusion of Flash hurt Adobe sales?

CG: I don’t think it will have a significant effect. As well as Apple is doing, if you look at the number of platforms out in the market and the number of release of new ones that will occur over the next six to 12 months, it’s going to be huge. That’s a much bigger population, and we’re just focusing on making our technology operate as effectively and efficiently as possible for it.

JP: In his “Thoughts on Flash” essay, Jobs accused Adobe of abandoning Apple. “Apple went through its near death experience, and Adobe was drawn to the corporate market with their Acrobat products,” he wrote. Is Job’s implication here a fair one?

CG: We never abandoned Apple. Apple now seems to be abandoning at least one aspect of our product line right now. No, we never abandoned them. We’ve always ported our apps simultaneously to both platforms. There have been times when Apple has changed its strategy on hardware or on operating systems that didn’t meet our product cycle, so there have been periods of maybe six months where we didn’t keep up with their latest release. But that’s our own business model; we can only afford to re-implement our products at a certain rate. We have never, ever abandoned Apple and we don’t want to abandon them today.

JP: Why isn’t Flash an open standard?

CG: It is. What are you talking about?

JP: Flash is proprietary to Adobe. It’s not Open Source. Let me rephrase: Why isn’t Flash an open standard overseen by an open-standards body?

CG: As soon as Adobe acquired Macromedia, we openly published the SWF format and removed the requirement that you have a license to use it….No, we haven’t put Flash out to a standards body yet as we have with PDF and Postscript. But I wouldn’t be shocked if we do someday when it makes sense.

With the standards that we have built and made open to the entire world, we’ve tried our best to get them to the point where they’re mature enough so that we’re not doing design by committee. If you look at the amount of time it will take HTML5 to become a reasonably solid platform, it’s going to take a long time because there are an awful lot of vested interests trying to influence its development.

JP: Any thoughts on Steve Jobs’s claim that “Flash was created during the PC era–for PCs and mice”?

CG: What do you think an iPhone is? It’s a personal computer.

JP: One last question. What do you think of the iPad?

CG: I think it’s a neat thing. I personally have no particular interest in it; I’d much rather have a general-purpose computer. I think there’s definitely a market for that kind of product. We certainly know a lot of people that want to produce content for it and a large percentage of them are disappointed that they’re going to have to do that separately from the way they produce content for all the other devices they support.

In the Kno: Kakai To Demo Student-Focused Tablet at D8

Recently, BoomTown uncloaked one of Silicon Valley’s hotter “stealth” start-ups called Kakai.

My take: An advanced tablet device and related service aimed at students.

Now, today, Kakai is taking another step out of the shadows by changing its name to Kno, which is short for knowledge.

You can see its new logo above–and on its new Kno Web site is the message: “Our stealth days are almost over! You’ll need to wait a few more days to really Kno.”

Actually, you will be able to see exactly what the company has come up with at the eighth D: All Things Digital conference, where the it will be demoing the Kno for the first time in public.

The Linux-based foldable double-screened device is designed to feel like a mix of a notebook and a textbook.

Gesture-based and portable, Kno will be aimed directly at the education niche. The endeavor goes well beyond the tablet itself, by including robust software and seamless Web site to deliver course material, allowing for note-taking and offering other audio and video capabilities.

Founded almost exactly a year ago, Kakai had been one of the start-ups in Silicon Valley in the deepest of stealth modes, despite a panoply of high-profile players involved.

As I wrote:

“In simplest terms, it’s essentially a Kindle for students.

But that’s just the tip of what is perhaps one of the more ambitious and innovative efforts on the part of a Silicon Valley entrepreneur who already has one hit under his belt.”

I was referring to Osman Rashid, whose other start-up is fast-growing online textbook rental leader Chegg.

And, you can pretty much draw a straight line from Chegg to Kakai.

But rather than focusing on making an old business better via the Web, as Chegg does, Kno will be headed right into the competitive tablet market that now includes Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Samsung, Dell (DELL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and, reportedly, Google (GOOG).

Santa Clara, Calif.-based Kakai/Kno has raised almost $10 million in funding from prominent venture players like Andreessen Horowitz and First Round Capital, along with investors Mike Maples and Ron Conway.

In addition, Marc Andreessen is now on Kakai’s board.

Rashid, who founded Kakai with Babur Habib, has worked in companies related to the consumer electronics industry.

You can check out their efforts on June 2 on this site, when we will be providing ongoing coverage of D8, where we will also be featuring four other demos of cool, new innovations, along with interviews of top tech and media execs.

2010年5月11日星期二

Sprint Not Going to Sell Google’s Nexus One, Either

So much for Google’s plans to bring its Android hero phone, the Nexus One, to all four major U.S. carriers. Earlier this year, Verizon bailed on the device, and now Sprint has as well.

Like Verizon (VZ), which dumped the Nexus One in favor of the Droid Incredible, Sprint (S) too is abandoning it for a device it claims is superior: the EVO 4G. Said a spokesperson for the carrier: “We are not bringing in Nexus One as EVO 4G is more robust in 3G markets and amazing in the growing number of 4G areas.”

Quite a turnabout given the “Hey, we’re getting the Google phone, too” announcement the company put out, oh…about two months ago.

Evidently, Google’s plan to disrupt the carrier-dominated mobile phone market by providing a single “superphone” that works on any U.S. wireless network isn’t quite working out the way it had hoped.

Question now is, will Google (GOOG) circle back and try again with another smartphone? Or will it reconsider it’s commitment to the hardware business entirely in light of the Nexus One’s declining carrier support, slow sales and customer support issues?

2010年5月10日星期一

Google Readies Its E-Book Plan, Bringing in a New Sales Approach

Now let's focus on how to convert M4A to MP3 step by step.

Step 1 Free download Aiseesoft Audio Converter, install it and add M4A file(s) you want to convert Convert M4A to MP3

Step 2 Proper format and folder

Want to convert M4A to MP3? Choose MP3 as the output format and click Browse button to set the path where you want to save the converted file.

Step 3 Start conversion

The last step is to press the Start button at the bottom of main interface to convert M4A to MP3.

Tip:

It is optional for you to further edit the output MP3 file, including: trim any-time length clips by clicking Trim button, set advanced output audio parameters pressing Setting option, catch you-like image when previewing, etc.

For more details, explore: M4A to MP3

2010年5月9日星期日

How to Convert AVI to DPG

Convert AVI to DPG in detail: Try the trial version of AVI to DPG converter now, install and follow the steps to complete the task.

convert AVI to DPG

Step1: Load files

Click "Add File" button on the toolbar or "File > Add File" to load AVI files you want to convert to DPG.

Step2: Choose output format and folder.

Find DPG as output video format from Profile and click Browse to choose the path where you want to save your output files on the program interface.

Step 3: Adjust output settings and edit output file (optional)

To customize the output file, you can adjust output video/audio parameters by clicking Settings, reset output effect, trim, crop, snapshot…

Step 4: Start conversion

Click Start, AVI to DPG converter will convert AVI to DPG.

Explore How to Convert AVI to DPG for detailed info!

2010年5月7日星期五

How to Convert WMV to AVI

Now download Aiseesoft Total Video Converter, then follow the tips below to learn how to convert WMV to AVI with Aiseesoft Total Video Converter.

1. Install and launch Aiseesoft Total Video Converter

Install and launch Aiseesoft Total Video Converter, add your WMV file by clicking "Add File" in the File menu.

Convert WMV to AVI

2. Select output format and destination folder

In "Profile" drop down list, you may select output format. Press "Browse" to select the destination folder for output files.

3. Set professional parameters

After selecting certain output format, click "Settings" to set output video and audio parameters. "Save as…" button can assist you to reserve well-customized profile.

4. Start the WMV to AVI conversion

Finally, click "Start" to begin WMV to AVI conversion. After a successful conversion, you can enjoy your wanted AVI file on your player.

More information at: Convert WMV to AVI.

How to Convert FLV to AVI

Now let's talk about how to convert FLV to AVI with Aiseesoft Total video converter.

1. Start up Aiseesoft Total Video Converter

Install and launch Aiseesoft Total Video Converter, add your FLV file by clicking "Add File" in the File menu.

Convert FLV to AVI

2. Select output format and destination folder

In "Profile" drop down list, you may select output format. Press "Browse" to select the destination folder for output files.

3. Set professional parameters

After selecting certain output format, click "Settings" to set output video and audio parameters. "Save as…" button can assist you to reserve well-customized profile.

4. Start converting WMV to AVI

After setting all parameters, press "Start" to begin the FLV to AVI conversion. Several minutes later, you will see your wanted AVI file in destination folder.

With Aiseesoft Total Video Converter, the whole conversion will be finish within several minutes. The friendly interface will make your conversion process especially convenient and easy. Get more information at: Convert FLV to AVI.

2010年5月6日星期四

Adobe CTO: Flash on iPhone Doesn’t Suck and Apple Knows It

Apple didn’t ban Flash from the iPhone and iPad because it propogates lowest common denominator apps, it banned Flash because it propogates good ones. This according to Adobe CTO Kevin Lynch who, during an interview at the Web 2.0 Expo today, lambasted Apple for its campaign against the platform.

Said Lynch: “The technology issue Apple has with us is not that our tech doesn’t work, it’s that it does work.”

An interesting counterpoint to Apple (AAPL) CEO Steve Jobs’s 1,700-word anti-Flash polemic last week, which claimed not only that Flash doesn’t work well on the iPhone, it doesn’t work well on any mobile platform.

“Flash has not performed well on mobile devices,” Jobs wrote. “We have routinely asked Adobe to show us Flash performing well on a mobile device, any mobile device, for a few years now. We have never seen it. Adobe publicly said that Flash would ship on a smartphone in early 2009, then the second half of 2009, then the first half of 2010, and now they say the second half of 2010. We think it will eventually ship, but we’re glad we didn’t hold our breath. Who knows how it will perform?”

Who knows how it will perform? Adobe (ADBE), I guess. The company just hasn’t shown anyone how well yet.

Incidentally, Lynch and Jobs do agree on one thing: HTML5 is good for the Web. Asked for his thoughts on the markup language, which Jobs has argued should replace Adobe’s Flash player as the de facto standard for Web video, Lynch spoke highly of it. “HTML5 is the best thing that’s happened in browsers for a long time,” he said. “Innovation is happening in the browser again and Adobe will make tools for people to create experiences in HTML5.”

2010年5月4日星期二

Apple: One Million iPads Sold

28 days. That was all it took for Apple (AAPL) to sell one million iPads.

In a statement issued this morning, the company said it hit that milestone last Friday — the day the iPad 3G went on sale. “One million iPads in 28 days–that’s less than half of the 74 days it took to achieve this milestone with iPhone,” CEO Steve Jobs said. “Demand continues to exceed supply and we’re working hard to get this magical product into the hands of even more customers.”

So, one million iPads sold in less than a month–domestically. And demand for the device exceeding that for the original iPhone. Quite an achievement considering the iPad is an entirely new device category between the laptop computer and the smartphone.

And, unlike the iPhone, its market is unproven, although that’s obviously changing and quickly, too. It would seem, then, that Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster was right when he suggested yesterday that his forecast of 1.3 million sales in the June quarter might be conservative. After all, the international launch of the iPad is set to begin later this month.

2010年5月1日星期六

Waiting for iTunes.com? Don’t Hold Your Breath

Apple is shutting down its Web-based music service in a month. When will it open a new one?

No time soon, from what I can tell.

I’ve been on the phone all day with music industry sources. None of them know of any specific plans Apple has to replace Lala at the end of May, when it will shutter the streaming music company it bought last December.

Sources tell me that in the past few weeks, Apple has started signaling to the labels that it’s interested in a Web-based version of iTunes, its dominant music retail platform. But those conversations are preliminary at best.

So if you’re expecting to hear about an “iTunes.com” offering in the near future — like during Apple’s June 7 developer conference — you’re likely to be disappointed.

That said, moving music to the Web does seem to be on Apple’s agenda.

Sources say the company approached the labels earlier this year about a cloud-based “locker” service, where users could streams songs they owned to multiple devices.

But that went nowhere quickly — “a swing and a miss”, in the words of an industry insider — because the labels argued that streaming a single purchase to multiple devices constituted multiple uses, which meant they should receive more for the songs they sell through iTunes.

It’s possible that Apple (AAPL) could argue that it doesn’t need the labels’ permission to launch a locker service, and that users have the right to do whatever they want with their content.

But even if that argument held up legally, it would enrage the labels, who already feel that Steve Jobs hoodwinked them when he set up the iTunes model in 2003. And even if Jobs didn’t mind antagonizing the labels, it would make his current efforts to romance other content providers, like TV networks, even more difficult.

Apple could also try a subscription/rental model for iTunes, like the one currently offered by the likes of Rhapsody, MOG and Spotify (at least in Europe). But no one has figured out how to rent music at a price that satisfies consumers, the labels and the music services. At least not on a large scale.

So no matter what strategy Apple pursues, it’s going to require a new set of negotiations with the labels, who might be prickly partners this time around. Hard to see this one getting off the ground and into the cloud in a hurry.